QB · SEA · #14
QB at 29.2 — quiet profile, no red flags either way.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,785
Range 3,475–4,090
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
246.7 pts
14.5 PPG · 16.5 games
3812.3 pass yds · 25.1 pass TD · 170.2 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection — not extra 0–10,000 components.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Darnold scored 235.4 Half-PPR points in 2025 (QB14). Darnold won Super Bowl LX with Seattle in the 2025 season, but fantasy value slipped as Seattle shifted him into a game-manager role after Week 10 and leaned on defense and the run. 2026 Engine volume keeps him on the starter side of the ledger.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Sam Darnold.
Jayden Daniels Missed Half of 2025 — Is He Still a Top-Tier Dynasty QB?
Jayden Daniels played just 7 games in 2025 due to three separate injuries. Here's why his dynasty value hasn't collapsed heading into 2026.
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
Is JSN's Breakout Year Real or a Product of Volume?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards, won a Super Bowl, and just signed a $168.6 million extension. Here's why his dynasty value isn't a volume mirage.
Half-PPR points
235.4
PPG
13.8
Positional finish
QB14
Key stats
8 seasons
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB14 | 235.4 | 13.8 | 4048 | 25 | 95 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | — | 308.0 | 18.1 | 4319 | 35 | 212 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | — | 23.4 | 2.3 | 297 | 2 | 15 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | 86.3 | 14.4 | 1143 | 7 | 106 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | 157.3 | 13.1 | 2527 | 9 | 222 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | — | 134.0 | 11.2 | 2208 | 9 | 217 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | 189.2 | 14.6 | 3024 | 19 | 62 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | — | 168.1 | 12.9 | 2865 | 17 | 135 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 8.8 | SF | 198 | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 6.1 | CAR | 147 / 1 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 19.5 | LA | 270 / 2 TD | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 11.3 | IND | 271 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 22.3 | ATL | 249 / 3 TD | 23 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 3.1 | MIN | 128 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 17.7 | TEN | 244 / 2 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.3 | LA | 279 | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 4.9 | ARI | 178 / 1 TD | -2 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 27.2 | WAS | 330 / 4 TD | 0 | 0 |
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
28th of 42
30th of 42
4th of 42
15th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.