QB · KC · #15
30.9 years old and holding steady — nothing here demands a second look.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,412
Range 6,728–8,084
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
321.0 pts
18.9 PPG · 14.7 games
4337.8 pass yds · 27.4 pass TD · 437 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection — not extra 0–10,000 components.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Mahomes scored 285.2 Half-PPR points in 2025 (QB11). Age 30.9 QB with a quiet recent trend — wait for a clearer signal. 2026 still treats him like a cornerstone QB — not a sell-low dart.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Patrick Mahomes.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Is It Time to Cut Ties With Travis Kelce in Dynasty?
Kelce's contract is structured for retirement in 2027. He's still TE3-caliber, but the dynasty window is closing fast. Here's the sell case.
Half-PPR points
285.2
PPG
20.4
Positional finish
QB11
Key stats
9 seasons
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB11 | 285.2 | 20.4 | 3587 | 22 | 422 | 5 | 1 | -10 | — |
| 2024 | — | 282.5 | 17.7 | 3928 | 26 | 307 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2023 | — | 280.2 | 17.5 | 4183 | 27 | 389 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | 416.9 | 24.5 | 5250 | 41 | 358 | 4 | 1 | 6 | — |
| 2021 | — | 361.7 | 21.3 | 4839 | 37 | 381 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | — | 374.4 | 25.0 | 4740 | 38 | 308 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | 287.0 | 20.5 | 4031 | 26 | 218 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | — | 417.1 | 26.1 | 5097 | 50 | 272 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | — | 10.4 | 10.4 | 284 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — |
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 | 13.1 | LAC | 189 | 15 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 5.8 | HOU | 160 | 59 | -10 · 1 rec |
| 2025 W13 | 29.4 | DAL | 261 / 4 TD | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 17.1 | IND | 352 | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 13.3 | DEN | 276 / 1 TD | 3 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 10.5 | BUF | 250 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 23.0 | WAS | 299 / 3 TD | 30 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 26.2 | LV | 286 / 3 TD | 28 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 31.5 | DET | 257 / 3 TD | 32 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 26.7 | JAX | 318 / 1 TD | 60 / 1 TD | 0 |
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
15th of 42
32nd of 42
34th of 42
20th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.