QB · CIN · #9
Joe Burrow
- Height
- HT 6'4"
- Weight
- WT 216 lbs
- Birth date
- Dec 10, 1996 (age 29.9)
- College
- LSU; Ohio State
Only 8 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,168
Range 5,602–6,702
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
101.2 pts
20.2 PPG
1361 pass yds · 11 pass TD · 48 rush yds
Week 6 projection
Bye
No game this week
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowBurrow threw for 1,361 yards and 11 TDs in 2026, ranking QB4 through 5 games. Burrow’s recent seasons have been interrupted by calf and wrist issues — availability, not arm talent, is the dynasty swing factor. 2025 stopped at 8 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Joe Burrow.
- StrategyNextDyne
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Dynasty Waiver Wire Targets: After Week 4
Carolina and Kansas City are on bye, Washington's quarterback job is open again, and both Cincinnati stars are banged up. Five names for this week's claims.
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Monday Morning QB: Week 4
Drake Maye answered two bad games with the week's best quarterback line, three passers threw 158 times without a win, and our top four quarterbacks all missed.
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Biggest Overreactions of Week 3
Four Week 3 takes the box score doesn't back, plus the one matchup call from our preview that actually held up.
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Chase Brown Wants to Stay in Cincinnati — Will the Bengals Pay Him?
Chase Brown finished RB9 on a cheap rookie contract and is now seeking an extension as the running back market resets. Here's his dynasty value heading into 2026.
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Is Joe Burrow's Dynasty Price Finally Right After the Turf Toe Discount?
Joe Burrow's dynasty price is lower than it's been in years after a turf toe surgery wiped out half his season. Here's why that's the buying window.
- StrategyNextDyne
Justin Herbert Keeps Getting Overlooked — What's the Market Missing?
Justin Herbert played through a broken hand in 2025 and still finished QB10. Here's why the market keeps underrating one of dynasty's steadiest quarterbacks.
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Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
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Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
- StrategyNextDyne
Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
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Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
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Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
101.2
PPG
20.2
Rank so far
QB4
Key stats
- Pass yds: 1361 (QB6)
- Pass TD: 11 (QB4)
2026 week shape
3/5 Boom 60%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB4so far | 101.2 | 20.2 | 1361 | 11 | 48 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB29 | 134.5 | 16.8 | 1809 | 17 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB3 | 372.8 | 21.9 | 4918 | 43 | 201 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB25 | 147.2 | 14.7 | 2309 | 15 | 88 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB4 | 350.7 | 21.9 | 4475 | 35 | 257 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB8 | 314.2 | 19.6 | 4611 | 34 | 118 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB25 | 173.7 | 17.4 | 2688 | 13 | 142 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 24.6Boom | MIA | 63 plays · 51% pass | 190 / 4 TD | 10 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 23.7Boom | JAX | 69 plays · 78% pass | 428 / 1 TD | 6 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 22.6Boom | PIT | 55 plays · 67% pass | 282 / 3 TD | 13 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 16.2 | HOU | 54 plays · 57% pass | 207 / 2 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 14.2 | TB | 62 plays · 57% pass | 254 / 1 TD | 20 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 19.6 · scored 24.6 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -5.0.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- MIA-4% · 226 pass yards
- JAX+18% · 277 pass yards
- PIT-0% · 234 pass yards
- HOU+9% · 256 pass yards
- TB+0% · 235 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 87.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
87.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.7%
- On-target throw %
- 75.0%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.3s
Durability
- 202417 G
- 20258 G · 2 Out
- 20265 G
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 2.57s
- Aggressiveness
- 12.7%
- CPOE
- 4.5pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -1.6yd
4th of 38
27th of 38
10th of 38
26th of 38
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Joe Burrow's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Burrow scores 6,168 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Joe Burrow's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 17.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Joe Burrow in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.