QB · CIN · #9
Only 8 games in 2025 — durability, not age band, is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,981
Range 5,444–6,508
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
291.8 pts
17.2 PPG · 14.4 games
4228.1 pass yds · 31.2 pass TD · 174.8 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection — not extra 0–10,000 components.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Burrow scored 134.5 Half-PPR points in 2025 (QB29). Burrow’s recent seasons have been interrupted by calf and wrist issues — availability, not arm talent, is the dynasty swing factor. 2025 stopped at 8 games; availability is the swing factor into next year. Into 2026, the model still expects usable starter production.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Joe Burrow.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Top 20 Quarterbacks: Dynasty Value Score
Dynasty QB value doesn't match the season-projection board — Joe Burrow jumps twelve spots, Matthew Stafford falls eighteen. The Top 20 QBs by Dynasty Value Score.
Half-PPR points
134.5
PPG
16.8
Positional finish
QB29
Key stats
6 seasons
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB29 | 134.5 | 16.8 | 1809 | 17 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | — | 372.8 | 21.9 | 4918 | 43 | 201 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | — | 147.2 | 14.7 | 2309 | 15 | 88 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | 350.7 | 21.9 | 4475 | 35 | 257 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | 314.2 | 19.6 | 4611 | 34 | 118 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | — | 173.7 | 17.4 | 2688 | 13 | 142 | 3 | — | — | — |
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 21.1 | CLE | 236 / 3 TD | 17 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 20.4 | ARI | 305 / 2 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 29.0 | MIA | 309 / 4 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 5.5 | BAL | 225 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 23.4 | BUF | 284 / 4 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 19.2 | BAL | 261 / 2 TD | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 7.0 | JAX | 76 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 8.8 | CLE | 113 / 1 TD | 3 | 0 |
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
20th of 42
15th of 42
13th of 42
18th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.