QB · SEA · #2
2025 stopped at 3 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Traded from DEN to SEA (Mar 8, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
34.2 pts
17.1 PPG
422 pass yds · 4 pass TD · 13 rush yds
Week 6 projection
1.4 pts
@ DEN · floor–ceiling 0.4–2.4
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.03
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Lock threw for 422 yards and 4 TDs in 2026, ranking QB34 through 2 games. Current rank is QB34 through 2 games — QB72 was the last finished season. Played a short 2025 (3 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Drew Lock.
Week 3 Injury Report: Three Young Quarterbacks Down
Week 3 injury report: Jaxson Dart is done for the regular season, Jayden Daniels is doubtful with the same elbow, and Caleb Williams is still week to week.
Sam Darnold "Dodged a Bullet." Here's His Updated Timeline.
Sam Darnold's MRI results are in — the Seahawks say he "dodged a bullet." Here's his return timeline and updated dynasty value after Week 1.
Sam Darnold Is Out for the Rest of Week 1. Here's What We Know.
Sam Darnold is out for the rest of Seattle's Week 1 opener with a right hip injury. Here's what it means for his dynasty value and Drew Lock's outlook.
Half-PPR points
34.2
PPG
17.1
Rank so far
QB34
Key stats
2026 week shape
1/2 Boom 50%
0/2 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB34so far | 34.2 | 17.1 | 422 | 4 | 13 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB72 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 15 | — | -5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB39 | 80.1 | 11.4 | 1071 | 6 | 133 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB48 | 29.1 | 7.3 | 543 | 3 | 14 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB41 | 51.4 | 8.6 | 787 | 2 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020 | QB23 | 181.3 | 13.9 | 2933 | 16 | 160 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB36 | 68.0 | 13.6 | 1020 | 7 | 72 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W2 | 21.4Boom | ARI | 66 plays · 39% pass | 235 / 3 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 12.8 | NE | 46 plays · 52% pass | 187 / 1 TD | 13 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 2 Engine grade
Projected 4.9 · scored 21.4 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -16.5.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 13.0% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
2.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (42 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
12th of 38
13th of 38
2nd of 38
24th of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.