WR · IND · #2
25-year-old WR.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,097
Range 3,648–4,303
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
34.9 pts
7.0 PPG
20 rec · 249 rec yds
Week 6 projection
8.0 pts
vs TEN · floor–ceiling 4.2–11.9
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Downs caught 20 passes for 249 yards in 2026, ranking WR48 through 5 games. Age 25 WR — the profile is quiet, not loud. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Downs.
Half-PPR points
34.9
PPG
7.0
Rank so far
WR48
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/5 Boom 0%
2/5 Bust 40%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR48so far | 34.9 | 7.0 | 20 | 249 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR48 | 107.4 | 6.7 | 58 | 566 | 4 | -2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR36 | 147.5 | 10.5 | 72 | 803 | 5 | 12 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR46 | 123.1 | 7.2 | 68 | 771 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 6.2 | PIT | 68 plays · 65% pass | 47 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 3.1Bust | WAS | 64 plays · 53% pass | 16 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 10.2 | HOU | 67 plays · 54% pass | 77 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 10.7 | KC | 63 plays · 49% pass | 72 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 4.7Bust | BAL | 51 plays · 61% pass | 37 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 8.9 · scored 6.2 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +2.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 58.7% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
67.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (79 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
39th of 81
39th of 81
13th of 81
17th of 81
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.