QB · NYG · #18
Played a short 2025 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from MIN to NYG (Sep 28, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
392
Range 347–437
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
0.2 pts
0.2 PPG
2 rush yds
Week 6 projection
5.7 pts
vs NO · floor–ceiling 1.4–10.7
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.00
Athletic composite 7.0/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
McCarthy ranks QB47 in 2026 through 1 game. He ranks QB47 through 1 game, down from QB32. Early, not a finished step down. Played a short 2025 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention J.J. McCarthy.
Giants Trade for J.J. McCarthy. Here's What It Means for Dynasty.
The Giants traded a 2027 fifth-round pick for J.J. McCarthy. Here's his dynasty value, Jameis Winston's role, and what it means for Jaxson Dart.
Is Kyler Murray Still Startable After His Concussion?
Kyler Murray's Vikings debut lasted 18 pass yards before a concussion ended his day. He missed Week 2, started Week 3, and the dynasty case still sits on health.
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
Kyler Murray Is Officially Minnesota's Starting QB — What That Means for His Dynasty Value
Kyler Murray's dynasty value after he took over as Minnesota's QB1 — the depth chart, the weapons, and what changes for J.J. McCarthy owners.
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
Half-PPR points
0.2
PPG
0.2
Rank so far
QB47
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/1 Boom 0%
1/1 Bust 100%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB47so far | 0.2 | 0.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB32 | 125.4 | 12.5 | 1632 | 11 | 181 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 0.2Bust | WAS | 82 plays · 66% pass | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 10.0 · scored 0.2 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +9.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.6% mean
Pass-play participation
93.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (10 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
39th of 42
13th of 42
40th of 42
3rd of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.