TE · DAL · #87
Jake Ferguson
- Height
- HT 6'5"
- Weight
- WT 250 lbs
- Birth date
- Jan 18, 1999 (age 27.7)
- College
- Wisconsin
He ranks TE18 through 5 games, after TE8. The season isn't over.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,138
Range 3,549–4,181
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
33.7 pts
6.7 PPG
15 rec · 102 rec yds · 3 rec TD
Week 6 projection
7.3 pts
@ GB · floor–ceiling 3.4–11.0
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowFerguson caught 15 passes for 102 yards in 2026, ranking TE18 through 5 games. He ranks TE18 through 5 games, after TE8. The season isn't over. The 2026 projection is modest — the role has to hold. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jake Ferguson.
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2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
33.7
PPG
6.7
Rank so far
TE18
Key stats
- Rec: 15 (TE20)
- Rec yds: 102 (TE31)
- Rec TD: 3 (TE5)
2026 week shape
0/5 Boom 0%
3/5 Bust 60%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | TE18so far | 33.7 | 6.7 | 15 | 102 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | TE8 | 147.1 | 8.7 | 82 | 600 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | TE30 | 74.9 | 5.4 | 59 | 494 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | TE8 | 141.6 | 8.3 | 71 | 761 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | TE47 | 38.9 | 3.5 | 19 | 174 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 3.4Bust | TB | 55 plays · 76% pass | 19 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 2.6Bust | HOU | 70 plays · 64% pass | 11 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 7.8 | BAL | 70 plays · 57% pass | 23 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 18.3 | WAS | 52 plays · 60% pass | 43 / 2 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 1.6Bust | NYG | 52 plays · 65% pass | 6 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 8.2 · scored 3.4 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +4.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- TB+0% · 235 pass yards
- HOU+9% · 256 pass yards
- BAL+2% · 238 pass yards
- WAS+15% · 269 pass yards
- NYG-11% · 210 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 66.7% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
78.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 6
- Avg depth of target
- 4.7
- Drop %
- 2.0%
Durability
- 202414 G · 2 Out
- 202517 G
- 20265 G
- 15.8 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
R4 (129 overall) TE · that slot hit at 13.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=36; contributor 27.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Separation
- 3.83yd
- Cushion
- 5.10yd
- YAC above expected
- -0.49yd
- Air yards share
- 6.6%
6th of 30
19th of 30
26th of 30
27th of 30
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Jake Ferguson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Ferguson scores 4,138 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Jake Ferguson's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 8.1 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Jake Ferguson in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.