QB · HOU · #7
The running rank is QB9 through 5 games, from QB21. Don't treat that like a season finish.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,889
Range 5,353–6,396
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
89.2 pts
17.8 PPG
1402 pass yds · 6 pass TD · 71 rush yds
Week 6 projection
20.3 pts
@ JAX · floor–ceiling 11.7–27.6
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Stroud threw for 1,402 yards and 6 TDs in 2026, ranking QB9 through 5 games. He ranks QB9 through 5 games, up from QB21. That's pace, not a finished season. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention C.J. Stroud.
Marvin Harrison Jr. After the Trade to Houston
Marvin Harrison Jr. has five catches in four games and was traded to Houston. Here is what his dynasty value looks like now, and why I'd hold and not pay full price.
Is Dak Prescott a Dynasty Buy-Low at 33?
Dak Prescott's passing yards climbed from 175 to 316 while his scoring fell, and he ranks QB19 on our dynasty board next to C.J. Stroud. Here is why the dip looks like a buying chance for contenders.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 4
A running back whose score jumped nearly 9,000 points, a 38-point receiver and a quarterback who finally woke up. Which Week 4 reactions to fade.
Monday Morning QB: Week 4
Drake Maye answered two bad games with the week's best quarterback line, three passers threw 158 times without a win, and our top four quarterbacks all missed.
Week 4 Matchups: Who's Set Up to Win
Three weeks of tape point at Baltimore's offense and San Francisco's defense as the two strongest forces on the Week 4 board.
Biggest Overreactions of Week 3
Four Week 3 takes the box score doesn't back, plus the one matchup call from our preview that actually held up.
Is C.J. Stroud a Dynasty Buy-Low in 2026?
C.J. Stroud's dynasty value fell for two straight years after a historic rookie season. Houston just spent the offseason fixing the actual problem.
Is Caleb Williams a Buy-Low After Year One in Chicago?
Caleb Williams jumped from QB16 to QB5 in his second season, even with rough underlying accuracy metrics. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Is Drake Maye the Best Buy-Low QB in Dynasty?
Drake Maye finished QB2 in 2025 and just got A.J. Brown as a new weapon. The latest board has caught up — 8,045 DVS, fourth among quarterbacks.
Is Bo Nix Undervalued in Dynasty? The Case for a Healthy, Well-Supported QB2
Bo Nix was a top-5 projected scorer sitting 16th in dynasty value. The latest board closed that gap — here is what changed, and what still matters.
Half-PPR points
89.2
PPG
17.8
Rank so far
QB9
Key stats
2026 week shape
2/5 Boom 40%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB9so far | 89.2 | 17.8 | 1402 | 6 | 71 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB21 | 208.5 | 14.9 | 3041 | 19 | 209 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB18 | 220.4 | 13.0 | 3727 | 20 | 233 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB9 | 275.5 | 18.4 | 4108 | 23 | 167 | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | 20.9Boom | TEN | 61 plays · 56% pass | 261 / 1 TD | 5 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 23.1Boom | DAL | 50 plays · 62% pass | 347 / 2 TD | 12 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 11.7 | IND | 48 plays · 56% pass | 167 / 1 TD | 10 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 17.0 | CIN | 74 plays · 76% pass | 353 | 29 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 16.5 | BUF | 70 plays · 54% pass | 274 / 2 TD | 15 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 5 Engine grade
Projected 16.6 · scored 20.9 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -4.3.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
92.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
31st of 38
6th of 38
7th of 38
1st of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.