Caelen Carson headshot

DB · DAL · #21

Caelen Carson

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 195 lbs
Birth date
Mar 3, 2002 (age 24.6)
College
Wake Forest

Played a short 2025 (7 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

415

Range 373–458

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Young DB with proof and a long runway.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 total FP

0.8 pts

0.8 PPG

Week 6 projection

3.9 pts

@ GB · floor–ceiling 1.7–6.5

Dynasty Value Score over time

80100200300400500550Preseason 2026: 493Preseason 20262026 W1: 1282026 W12026 W2: 1282026 W22026 W3: 4152026 W32026 W4: 4152026 W42026 W5: 4152026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Carson ranks DB320 in 2026 through 1 game. He ranks DB320 through 1 game, down from DB237. Early, not a finished step down. Played a short 2025 (7 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2026 fantasy highlights

IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4) points

0.8

PPG

0.8

Rank so far

DB320

Key stats

  • Solo: —
  • Sacks: —
  • INT: —

2026 week shape

0/1 Boom 0%

1/1 Bust 100%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4))

SeasonFinishIDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4) FPPPGSoloSacksINT
2026DB320so far0.80.8———
2025DB23726.83.812——
2024DB18442.88.623——

Career arc

0204060801002024: 42.8 IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4)4320242025: 26.8 IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4)2720252026: 0.8 IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4)120262026 projection: 91.6 IDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4)922026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekIDP (solo 1.5 / sack 4) FPOppScriptSoloSacksINT
2026 W30.8BustBAL70 plays · 57% pass———

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 defense · 54.2% mean

255075100W1W18

Pass-play participation

0.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Pressures
0
Hurries
0
Missed tackle %
5.6%

Durability

  • 2024
    5 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    7 G
  • 2026
    1 G · 1 Out
  • 17.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

Next Gen Stats

Next Gen tracking is for skill-position players.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Caelen Carson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Carson scores 415 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Caelen Carson's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 5.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Caelen Carson in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.