Arian Smith headshot

WR · NYJ · #82

Arian Smith
IR

Height
HT 6'0"
Weight
WT 179 lbs
Birth date
Oct 11, 2001 (age 25)
College
Georgia

From WR175 to WR191 through 2 games is a dip in pace, not a locked finish.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

76

Range 0–205

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

6.2 pts

0.4 PPG · 7.0 games

2.9 rec · 33.9 rec yds · 0.2 rec TD

Week 6 projection

0.0 pts

@ NE · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0

Dynasty Value Score over time

05090Preseason 2026: 46Preseason 20262026 W1: 02026 W12026 W2: 02026 W22026 W3: 02026 W32026 W4: 762026 W42026 W5: 762026 W5

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Combine ×1.01

    Athletic composite 6.5/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Smith ranks WR191 in 2026 through 2 games. He ranks WR191 through 2 games, down from WR175. Early, not a finished step down. The 2026 projection is cautious — wait for a real role change before paying up. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

0.0

PPG

0.0

Rank so far

WR191

Key stats

  • Rec: —
  • Rec yds: —
  • Rec TD: —

2026 week shape

0/2 Boom 0%

2/2 Bust 100%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR191so far0.00.0———————
2025WR17510.00.8752—13———

Career arc

010202025: 10.0 Half-PPR1020252026: 0.0 Half-PPR020262026 projection: 6.2 Half-PPR62026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W21.5BustGB68 plays · 60% pass000
2026 W10.0BustTEN63 plays · 38% pass000

Weekly Half-PPR

Boom 20+Bust under 5
51015202512Week

Hover a week for the total.

Week 2 Engine grade

Projected 0.5 · scored 1.5 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -1.0.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • GB
    -15% · 199 pass yards
  • TEN
    -2% · 229 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 38.3% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510012Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

41.3%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
13.5
Drop %
6.3%

Durability

  • 2024
    —
  • 2025
    13 G
  • 2026
    2 G
  • 7.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R4 (110 overall) WR · that slot hit at 4.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=63; contributor 14.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Arian Smith's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Smith scores 76 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Arian Smith's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 0.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Arian Smith in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.