RB · CAR · #28
Played a short 2025 (6 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
136
Range 104–246
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection Injured — score leans to the low end of the range until he returns.
Depth/upside bet — RB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
5.6 pts
1.4 PPG
43 rush yds · 2 rec · 3 rec yds
Week 6 projection
0.0 pts
@ PHI · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Dillon ran for 43 yards and caught 2 passes in 2026, ranking RB82 through 4 games. He ranks RB82 through 4 games, after RB115. The season isn't over. 2025 stopped at 6 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention AJ Dillon.
Dynasty Mailbag: Week 3
Should you sell Jaxson Dart, is Caleb Williams still a start, and did Jonathon Brooks just hand Chuba Hubbard the backfield? Answered with the live board.
Football Is Back — 2026 Hall of Fame Game Dynasty Recap
Carolina beat Arizona 33-30 in the Hall of Fame Game. What the first preseason box score does — and does not — mean for dynasty rosters.
Half-PPR points
5.6
PPG
1.4
Rank so far
RB82
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/3 Boom 0%
3/3 Bust 100%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RB82so far | 5.6 | 1.4 | 43 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | RB115 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 60 | — | 3 | 21 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | RB40 | 106.6 | 7.1 | 613 | 2 | 22 | 223 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | RB25 | 153.6 | 9.0 | 770 | 7 | 28 | 206 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | RB23 | 168.6 | 9.9 | 803 | 5 | 34 | 313 | 2 | — | — |
| 2020 | RB80 | 39.3 | 4.4 | 242 | 2 | 2 | 21 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W4 | 1.2Bust | DET | 69 plays · 59% pass | 2 | 5 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 1.9Bust | CLE | 71 plays · 68% pass | 16 | -2 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | -0.3Bust | ATL | 58 plays · 62% pass | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 2.8Bust | CHI | 60 plays · 63% pass | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 4 Engine grade
Projected 4.5 · scored 1.2 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +3.3.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 11.9% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
10.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (62 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.